‘The Situation is Dire’: Hostilities on Iran Squeezes India's Cooking-Gas Availability.

People queue up to buy cooking gas cylinders for domestic use in an Indian city
People line up to buy LPG tanks for household consumption in Chennai.

The repercussions of a war being fought nearly a significant distance away are now impacting India's households.

As US-Israeli strikes on Iran impede energy transports through the key maritime chokepoint, stocks of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) are shrinking across India, forcing restaurants to cut menus, shorten hours and in some cases close completely.

Social media is flooded by video clips showing queues outside cooking-gas dealers across Indian cities and towns as anxieties over fuel supplies spread. Commercial LPG users appear the worst hit: the biggest crunch is in commercial eateries.

"Conditions are critical. Kitchen fuel simply isn't available," says a spokesperson of the a major restaurant body.

Most restaurants run either on industrial fuel canisters or direct gas lines, and the scarcities are now being experienced across the country. "A lot of restaurants have shut down - some in Delhi, many in the southern states. People are adopting solid fuels and induction stoves to keep food preparation going."

City-Specific Fallout

In a western metro, media reports say up to a fifth of hospitality businesses are already completely or partially closed as cylinder availability dwindle. In the southern cities of tech and coastal hubs, some eateries say their cylinder inventory have depleted with little backup. "We can only make coffee and nothing else - it is nothing less than pathetic. Commerce will take a hit," says a chain proprietor in Bengaluru.

A closed restaurant shutter in an Indian city
A restaurant in Chennai which has shut down due to a scarcity of LPG.

Restaurant owners are scrambling to adapt. "Offering lists are shrinking, some are opening only for dinner and opening only for dinner," an industry representative says, adding that shutdowns are changing as supplies ebb and flow. "A number of eateries in Delhi were shut yesterday - two have already reopened. It's a fluid situation."

Retailers observe a surge in sales of electronic cooking appliances, with some saying they are facing stockouts.

Official Position

Yet, the government insists there is adequate supply.

India has more than a vast number of household consumers and officials say supplies are being reallocated to households as tensions from the Middle East conflict impact energy markets.

Roughly 60% of India's LPG is imported, and about 90% of those imports pass through the critical waterway, the narrow Gulf chokepoint now largely blocked by the hostilities.

The relevant department says that it directed refineries to boost LPG output for household consumption, enhancing domestic production by about a significant margin. Commercial stock is being reserved for critical services such as medical and academic centers, while distribution will be "just and open".

"Unnecessary hoarding and stockpiling has been triggered by misinformation. The normal delivery cycle for domestic LPG remains about under three days," says a senior official.

Growing Panic

Now the worry is spreading beyond kitchens. On online networks, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a lengthy, winding line of scooters outside a gas outlet. "The panic is real," the caption reads.

An oil tanker at sea representing imports
India imports up to 90% of the oil it uses, leaving it highly exposed to problems in international markets.

According to analysis from market experts, concerns about India's broader energy security may be exaggerated.

India imports the overwhelming majority of its petroleum. Around a significant portion of its crude oil imports - about millions of barrels a day - travel through the passage, largely from Gulf countries.

Even if oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz are blocked, the deficit could be partly made up by higher imports of competitively priced oil from Russia, according to a industry commentator.

Based on maritime intelligence and expert analysis, increased Russian crude imports could reach around a significant volume of barrels a day, lessening India's effective shortfall from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about a substantial volume of barrels a day.

"A large quantity of Russian oil barrels are currently in transit at sea in the Indian Ocean and, with only key buyers as major buyers, those barrels remain a available backup," an analyst noted.

Cooking Gas: The Critical Weakness

The real vulnerability is cooking gas, experts note.

India consumes roughly one million barrels a day, but produces only less than half domestically, importing the rest - most of it through the chokepoint.

Refineries can adjust processes to extract a bit more LPG, but even a moderate increase would only lift domestic supply to about under half of demand, leaving the country heavily reliant on imports.

In short: "Crude supply risk can be somewhat alleviated through diversification. Processed petroleum stocks remains relatively comfortable. LPG availability is the critical issue to watch in the coming weeks."

What may be worsening the panic on the ground is not just tight supply but patchy deliveries - and the usual problem of hoarding.

An industry representative states exploitative practices.

"Retailers are misusing the situation - selling fuel on the black market and selling them at a premium. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being accumulated and auctioned off."

For now, India's petroleum stocks may be buffered by worldwide shipping. But in kitchens across the country, the more pressing concern is simple: how to get the next gas canister.

Tanya Allen
Tanya Allen

A seasoned casino strategist with over a decade of experience in gaming analysis and player psychology.